Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 861.686050 979.681155 1113.758714 1278.625684 1477.598260 1712.178080 2012.963402
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 692.495599 843.977933 1033.375759 1292.445803 1645.547834 2122.429792 2838.143288
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 593.653703 753.512327 965.119091 1274.409901 1730.753496 2407.441763 3547.445460
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 537.810226 705.901272 939.292906 1300.499598 1872.531880 2797.805251 4543.865977
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 501.274775 677.371064 932.365133 1347.896626 2050.766821 3287.425874 5907.566266
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 465.749346 644.595597 912.769252 1369.364894 2187.462251 3740.851414 7416.846311
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 429.985765 606.726358 879.405879 1360.930814 2267.101386 4107.164147 8930.355205
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 406.817870 585.232886 868.510560 1387.808611 2416.642664 4663.004723 11276.825684
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 373.489890 544.312002 820.856676 1341.006485 2409.351025 4867.196452 12767.321525
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 345.926342 510.179687 780.897109 1302.435275 2410.842231 5093.441139 14514.228348
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 321.018202 478.341575 741.704442 1259.860052 2395.084023 5272.290559 16259.637597
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 312.869254 473.611836 749.236104 1309.627156 2598.192119 6119.534426 21650.377539
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 300.641618 461.635091 743.785443 1335.113441 2758.221271 6943.452641 28390.570944
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 287.531786 447.180584 732.541044 1347.413412 2891.415856 7764.637992 36915.141192
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 271.991879 427.159970 708.739950 1328.678601 2938.553119 8320.073922 45133.494763
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 263.215777 418.521125 705.836922 1356.213622 3121.144103 9497.085758 62509.097216
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 257.490645 414.913294 712.302795 1406.353704 3385.234844 11210.720416 94834.536252
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 249.353915 406.189697 707.593851 1429.071263 3574.113205 12759.042721 138319.211868
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 238.867041 392.307396 691.042645 1420.145328 3659.681215 13882.281623 187846.248379
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 232.508938 385.832993 689.300227 1448.594625 3882.011085 15987.908837 303045.619938
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 219.988043 366.702521 659.186552 1399.062837 3815.654617 16322.726779 367711.343286
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 209.084062 350.142289 633.443738 1358.266307 3773.044888 16807.268058 461666.774815
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 198.582612 333.843491 607.193648 1313.260779 3705.398482 17094.330646 565007.261452